“The function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.”*…
For as long as there have been markets, there have been those who forecast them. Bob Seawright explains why, for all of that “practice,” forecasting is never– and never can be– a precise nor “perfect”...
View Article“Two dangers constantly threaten the world: order and disorder”*…
After two days of posts on the state of our civil society, a palette-cleanser: Jordana Cepelewicz with a possibly-consoling reminder… When he died in 1930 at just 26 years old, Frank Ramsey [see here]...
View Article“The older one gets the more convinced one becomes that his Majesty King...
Bockscar en route to Nagasaki, 9 August 1945. US Air Force photo In an essay adapted from his book Fluke: Chance, Chaos, and Why Everything We Do Matters, Brian Klass argues that social scientists are...
View Article“Power always reveals”*…
Apposite to yesterday’s post, a provocative piece by Ben Ansell, who is reacting to a [terrific] piece by Henry Farrell in which Farrell, as he contemplates Trump’s moves, unpacks the “coordination”...
View Article“As far as the laws of mathematics refer to reality, they are not certain;...
As Gregory Barber explains, two new notions of infinity challenge a long-standing plan to define the mathematical universe… It was minus 20 degrees Celsius, and while some went cross-country skiing,...
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